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Ack, been thinking about this, as I'm very aggressively invested in tech and China is looking belligerent AF towards Taiwan, which just so happens to be central to the global tech economy and ecosystem.

Even if the US doesn't get involved militarily, a sanctions regime on China (similar to Russia, say) could be disastrous for the global economy.

On the counter-point side, I saw a good analysis from Noah Smith recently about how the West's sanctions on Russia have hobbled its imports, which are central to its war machine. I'll link that in a sec.

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Yo yo, I got your B, dawg. I got your 6.

Erm, I mean, here is the aforementioned analysis: https://noahpinion.substack.com/p/yes-sanctions-on-russia-are-working

Noah Smith being a liberal, and biased towards liberal democracy (and therefore perhaps biased in his analysis of the war, like I am and like probably everyone is). I thought it was illuminating, though, that even if they sanctions weren't particularly well thought-out and orchestrated, they still had the desired effect of making it significantly harder for Russia to wage war. See also: Iran drones, drawing war resources from Syria, etc. Seems like desperate measures for such a large country and supposedly powerful military. 🤷

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